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“Crazy” is how a Middle East source reacted to US President Donald Trump’s announcement of Gaza’s “occupation”. So, why is anyone crossing the trumpet tactics and the Middle East diplomacy, why will such an unpredictable review be conducted?
In straight terms, the clear policy of the US president turns over to Gaza – in the views of most Middle Eastern leaders – no one is in the best interest. Not theirs, not Palestinian ‘ – not even Trump.
On the worst interpretation, Trump’s basic departure of US foreign policy to support a Palestinian state’s possible establishment, including Gaza, indicates that so many people in the Middle East are concerned, That Israel’s war against Hamas on October 7, 2023, has been the frontier to permanently force Gaza’s 2.1 million Palestinians from their homes.
Saudi Arabia, which as the dominant diplomatic center of the region, as well as the spiritual home of 1.8 billion Muslims in the world – many of whom are angry with Israel’s actions – perhaps the most sooner in the game. And that was the first answer, within hours.
The ministry said in a statement, “The Foreign Ministry has confirmed that Saudi Arabia’s position on the establishment of the Palestinian state is stable and stable.” He added that the Prince Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) “confirmed this position clearly and clearly.”
To understand them all, try to think like MBS. He is the ultimate power in his land and Brooks has no political differences. Nevertheless, Hamas, which is not present in Saudi Arabia, is a threat to it. It represents political Islam, which is an ethoma for every Muslim sovereignty, in view of which, the MBS and its colleagues give the Gulf Royals an opportunity to fall into the heart. So he is interested in ending Hamas.
On the way, the Israeli bones trapped in Gaza, a solid crushing war has re -awakened the Palestinian sentiment of Saudi citizens. One -minded MBS knows that if the Gazis were expelled, there would be a popular anger.
Does MBS like peace, including bringing Israel back to the Middle East? Yes This is good for business, thickening its outsed bank balance, and Turkey Town keeps its citizens happy.
But what is good for its bank balance, which costs more than $ 80 a barrel, US investment.
This helps to say that the MBS has not openly criticized Trump’s new Gaza thinking, in addition to restoring the need for a Palestinian state because he does not want to end their great relations Is
He is a Trump boy in the Gulf. He wants matters with Trump about security and weapons. Trump wants to bring MBS investment in the United States and normalize relations with Israel.
And that as the caretaker of the two deadly places of Islam, the supervisor of Mecca and Medina, in another headache of MBS, it is seen doing the right thing by the Palestinians.
Jordan and Egypt’s dilemma
In contrast, the two countries named Gazan, Jordan and Egypt by Trump are really between a rocky and hard place.
They depend on our existence.
During the 1948 and 1967 wars of Israel, the two had a large number of Ghazan, which absorbed millions of frustrated Palestinians. Now they both say that a major arrival of Ghazan will further destabilize them.
The regional ideology has so far been pushed back to Trump’s growing pressure. Egypt’s President Abdul Fattah Al -Sisi says the migration of Ghaznan can never be tolerated nor allowed because of its impact on Egyptian national security. ”
Meanwhile, King Abdullah of Jordan insists that we “Palestinians need to stick to their territory”, regional diplomats pointed to the happiness of Ghazan, who is on the pile of debris. They say that this is their home.
The king of Jordan, who comes from a sustainable family who is dedicated to the right of the United States, is in Washington DC later this month, and Egypt’s President Sisi, who once by Trump’s “favorite dictator” As stated, it is expected to visit soon. .
To fully understand what is at stake, remember that Egypt’s Sisi had closed the Hamas forecast, a decade ago, the Muslim Brotherhood – immediately to win the elections. After.
Egypt is a regional lunch that has a potential powder of basic emotions that, if exploded, goes out of the region, and makes European and American interests puncture. That is why Sisi is still in power and why the West closed his eyes to catch the power of the post -spring spring. The West and especially the United States need Sisi because they do King Abdullah.
A failed Jordan will leave a large space of electricity, which will effectively open the door to Iranian regional proxies, and will be thrown to the Israeli border.
When he was talking to the US Congress last summer, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said his fight against Hamas would be successful, otherwise the ability of all democracies to fight terrorism should be affected. ”
Perhaps, even according to Netanyahu’s standards, a little hyperbolic, Trump’s announcement seems to be in front of the logic: If Hamas is expelled, it will still be Israel’s amazing distance.
It seems that Trump has also challenged Netanyahu’s promises. In July, the Israeli Prime Minister said: “For this day, my vision is an unconstitutional and unconstitutional Gaza. Israel does not try to resettle Gaza. Trump is no longer saying.
And just a few months ago, Netanyahu praised another vision for Gaza, so that it could be transformed into a large -scale free trade zone with a rail link in Naoma, the city of Saudi Arabia’s future dreams.
There is an idea here that is clean with hopes for the peace of the MBS in the Middle East, but one that is so impossible without normal. And an independent Palestinian state.
It is unclear whether the US president has trumps Netanyahu’s vision or is playing some part in force it. Whatever Trump’s intended to talk, he has made a previously unpredictable part of the mainstream dialogue. In decades, the deportation of this scale has not been observed. And one who will be a war crime.
