Wonderful of President Donald Trump Proposal The Gaza Strip faces major obstacles to force hundreds of Palestinians to move and develop as a tourist destination.
Palestinians and many others look at projects like ethnicity, Israeli attempts to evacuate them from their homeland after 15 months of offensive for 15 months. Most of this is uninhabited. It was also seen as an attempt to end its decades of long struggle for the state, which has a wide range of international support.
Arab countries, including Egypt and Jordan – close the US allies with Israel – Have condemned such plans And Reject from rounded Trump’s suggestion that he takes more Palestinian refugees.
Saudi Arabia issued an unusual statement overnight, which rejected the idea of ​​transfer and reiterated that it would not normalize relations with Israel – an important target of the Trump administration – Palestinian state, including Gaza. Without the establishment.
This proposal is also at risk of damaging Ceasefire in Gaza And continues Release of hostages Hamas was taken on October 7, 2023, the attack that mobilized the war. Trump has claimed credit for brokering the war, but his future is more uncertain.
Palestinians don’t want to leave
Palestinians view Gaza as an integral part of their national country and seek an independent state in Gaza, the West Bank and East Jerusalem, Israel acquired Israel in the Central War of 1967.
Most of the population of Gaza is offspring Refugees from the war of 1948 Around the creation of Israel, when hundreds of thousands of Palestinians fled or now left Israel. They were not allowed to return because it would be far greater than the number of Jewish populations in the new state.
Palestinian Ambassador to the United Nations Riaz Mansour advised that if Trump’s goal is to send Palestinians a “happy, good place”, they should return to their homes in Israel.
The Ideal of the Palestinian struggle and self -identity is at the center of the Palestinian struggle and self -identification, despite threats of deportation, and was in a clear exhibition last week when Hundreds of thousands returned to North Gaza Despite its near destruction.
Hamas and Western -backed Palestinian Authority, which recognizes Israel and cooperates with security, has strongly condemned Trump’s proposal.
Arab countries will not accept Palestinian refugees
Egypt and Jordan, who made reconciliation with Israel decades ago, have repeatedly rejected the previous proposals to resettle Palestinians in their borders.
They also fear that Israel will never allow the Palestinians to return, and that a massive arrival of Palestinian refugees will once again destabilize the region, as it has in 1948 after the decades. What was, when it was an important factor in the Lebanese civil war and two of Israel. Attacks of this country. The two countries also have struggling economies that will have a difficult time to absorb a large number of refugees.
Trump suggested that the rich countries in the Gulf could pay for the Palestinians to be resettled, but it is unlikely.
Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Qatar He has joined Egypt and Jordan to reject any transfer plans, and the Saudis immediately rejected the project.
The Saudi statement reaffirmed the remarks made by Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September, who said that Saudi Arabia would not normalize relations with Israel, without any Palestinian state with East Jerusalem. Make capital.
The king said that his “irritating position is non -negotiated and is not subject to compromise.”
Trump has the advantage, but there are similar central leaders
It seems that Trump uses the same TA taxes, sanctions and relief kit office with the same pressure on allies and opponents, and they can apply economic pressure to countries like Egypt and Jordan, which has long depended on US aid. Do
But these countries have stopped themselves despite a major threat to their national security. And the wealthy Gulf countries, who have historically provided aid to Egypt and Jordan, can help cushion any economic shock.
Egypt has already warned that the Palestinians are adjacent to Gaza at any mass Could damage its peace agreement with Israel -The foundation stone of regional stability and US influence for almost half a century.
Egypt and Qatar have also served as a key mediator with Hamas in the talks, which has led to a ceasefire, and both are working with Trump’s Medestic Environment, Steveticov, to expand it. Could try
Israelis welcome the project, but the hostages are preferred
The idea of ​​a massive transfer has historically been limited to Israel’s right -wing, but on Wednesday, mainstream leaders said that Trump’s plan is worth considering.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, at a press conference with Trump, acknowledged that when the US president proposes unconventional ideas, “jaw falls down”, but then “people scream their heads and they They say, ‘You know, that’s fine. “
Benny Gantz, A Centerist politician and former General Netanyahu has long been seen as a moderate alternative, saying that Trump’s proposal shows “creative, original and interesting thinking”, and should be studied with other combat goals, ” Prioritize the return of all hostages. “
Netanyahu’s rigorous critic of opposition leader Yair Lipid, who has supported the solution of two states in the past, has not objected to this idea. Instead, he interviewed local media, saying that it was too soon to react to Trump’s proposal because there were no concrete details, and the most important was to return the hostages.
The current phase of the Gaza Seas FireIn which Hamas has to release 33 hostages in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners, ended in early March. The second phase, in which the remaining 60 or more hostages will be liberated will be liberated in exchange for more prisoners.
Hamas has said it will not release the rest of the hostages without the end of the war and the complete Israeli withdrawal – which will potentially prevent any forced transfer.
Israel’s right -wing finance minister Bezel Smithrich, who supports a “voluntary migration” of a large number of Palestinians and re -establishing ghettos in Gaza, threatened to withdraw Netanyahu’s alliance if he did not resume Does After the first phase, the war, which will potentially lead to initial elections. He welcomed Trump’s proposal.
The resume of the war will endanger the lives of the rest of the hostages, and there is no guarantee that it will eliminate Hamas, Which still controls most of Gaza. This will also delay what Trump has presented as an important achievement and delayed any routine with Saudi Arabia.
An opening gamebut?
There is another possibility: that Trump’s proposal is an opening gamebet in the bargaining process, which is to finally save like a Middle East mega deal, which he says he is looking for.
It was only last week that Trump was threatening major prices against Canada and Mexico, the two largest trade partners in the United States, Before they stop When their leaders took steps to address their concerns about border security and drug trafficking.
During his first term, tampering with the possibility of Trump Israel connects parts of the occupied West Bank Before the idea was secured as part of a routine deal with the United Arab Emirates.
Trump can eventually reject his proposal or stop it in exchange for concessions from Arab leaders, perhaps to rebuild Gaza or to normalize it with Israel – though the Saudi statement has shown its implementation.
When the trauma ends, it can be further explanated, and when Trump meets King Abdullah II of Jordan in the White House next week.
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