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A recent discovery, which has attained the attention of the astronomy community, has now increased the risk of affecting the land.
According to the Lord, by the name of 2024 YR4, Kishodarrah has a 2.2 % possibility of killing our planet on December 22, 2032. European Space Agency. Due to the new observations, the risk diagnosis has increased by 1.2 % over the past week.
Astronomers expect the number of more observations to be shared. According to the agency, if the Tezrodra follows the behavior of Kishodarra near the ground after their discovery, then according to the agency, the chances of the effect will increase and then fall. For example, Kishorgarh Apofas was once considered to be a highly hazardous disciple, with his ability to attack the ground once in 2004. In 2021, scientists reviewed the opinion after the exact analysis of the orbit of Kishodarra.
More and more astronomers can observe the 2024 YR4, as they can improve their understanding of its size and speed, which will determine the possibility of effect.
According to A, “Basically, the more observations we receive, the more we can localize and confirm the pace of the temptation, which is more likely to be flyby, and does not have an effect. ” Blog Post The agency joints. “So, we expect the risk forecast permanently/step by zero.”
The estimate of Kishodarra is 131 to 295 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide.
Manager Dr. Paul Chaudas said that space rock has a size limit compared to a larger building. “ In NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in California, nearby Aarth Object Studies, or CNEOS center. Chaudas added that the size of the Teenagra, whose astronomers are trying to determine with follow -up observations using numerous telescopes, is currently extremely uncertain.
“If Kishodarra came out at a large end of its estimated size, its effect could damage the explosion up to 50 km (31 miles) from the site,” said Chaudas. “But this is an unexpected event that can be effective. The loss capacity is produced due to incredibly high speed (about 17 km per second, or 38,028 miles per hour), which enters the atmosphere.
The size of this size has an impact on the ground every few thousand years, and can cause severe damage to the local areas. Esa.
In 1908, in a remote Siberian forest in Russia, 30 meters wide (98 feet wide), Kishorgara killed the Pod Communia Tingoska River. Society of planets. The program equalized the trees and destroyed the forests at a distance of 830 square miles (2,150 square kilometers).
And in 2013, 20 meters wide (66 feet wide), Kishorgara entered the land environment over the Russian city of Chelbansk. It torn in the air, released 20 to 30 times more energy than the first atom bombCreating more than the sun, eliminating heat, damaging more than 7,000 buildings and injuring more than a thousand people.
In Chile’s Rio Hertdo, the telescope in Chile first spied 2024 years. , Navigation Engineer David Farunochia in JPL said via email.
After the deployment of Kishodarrah. After doing so, the automatic warning systems were sent to the alarm, which had a slim opportunity to affect the land in 2032, from the upper part of the ESA’s Kishorgara Risk List and NASA’s automatic sanitary risk list. Such lists are included in any of the listings on December 31 after the collision. A Nanzro’s possibility of hitting the ground.
Since early January, astronomers have used a lot of telescopic telescopes in Magdaleina Ridge Observatory, Danish telescope and Chile in New Mexico, which is currently more than 28 million miles (45 million kilometers) from Earth. Is far and moving from afar. Time, Faronchia said.
Since the tension goes away from the ground and becomes unconscious, the researchers will have to rely on large binoculars to observe it. The heavenly item should be seen in early April and should disappear as it continues on its orbit around the sun. Farunochia said it would not return around the earth by 2028.
If space agencies can completely reject any possibility of any effects, 2024 disappears from the YR4 view, the space will remain on the rock risk list unless it is seen in June 2028.
“Using the available tracking data available, we can predict the future position of Teenagrara,” said Fernachia. “When we detect a temptation, the same prediction. When we collect additional data, uncertainty in the position of 2024 YR4 in 2032 will be reduced.
NASA and ESA regularly detect thousands of Earth’s tears, but depending on the size, space stones are not always easy to find. But in the mission of the Technology, and in the future of the future of Kadra, astronomers, astronomers can detect that astronomers have not been seen in the past. Currently, there are no other known major temptations that have more than 1 % likely to affect the ground. Nasa.
The United Nations Confronted International Texture Reaction Groups – International Texture Alert Network, chaired by NASA, and the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group, chaired by ESA. In response to the risk level.
The International Texture Warning Network is responsible for tracking the details of the Texture and connecting organizations involved in their features – and if necessary, develop a strategy to evaluate the effects of the effect.
Meanwhile, the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group, which has recently sought in the Austrian Vienna, will provide recommendations and will evaluate the options to reduce the potential effects if a threat to Teenagra is a threat. Possible recession plans include removing the space in space, such as NASA’s 2022 double -reddish redirection test demonstration, or potentially affected evacuation Farunocia said the region on the ground.
According to the ESA, the group continues to monitor the 2024 YR4 and will meet again in the end of April or early May as the space cliff disappears from the sight of whether any recommendations are offered Need to do, according to the ESA.
“If 2024 YR4 was a threat at the end of the current observer window, then the steps to reduce, could be considered,” said Fernachia. “But it is premature. Right now the priority is to keep witnessing 2024 YR4 and reduce the uncertainty of its position in 2032, as it is likely to reject its effects.
