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Even this week, before the National Weather Service received a so -called purchase offering this week, the US public prediction agency was suffering from its lowest staff in decades. Now, NWS – whose mission is to protect life and property, to ensure that Americans have enough time to withdraw before hurricanes or hurricane strikes – they are staring at more deductions and an agency The nomination of the leader from which he is deeply careful.
Most of the Trade Department employees, including the National Oceanic and Wammandi Administration and the National Weather Service, received an email about the so-called Federal Employee purchase, which is officially known as the “Defade Resignation Program”- In the afternoon of an external package-pier. , CNN had previously reported.
And Elon Musk’s department’s performance, or at least one representative of the Dodge, accessed the Noaa IT system this week, according to three persons familiar with the situation, eliminating diversity, equality and activity associated with joining. The purpose of efforts.
“They are looking for a height and less for the DEI,” said a source familiar with the situation.
Noaa handed over the CNN to the Department of Commerce. Trade has not yet responded.
Inside the NWS, there is a serious concern that staff 5-10 for this year’s hurricane season to run the weather radar and make timely and free predictions in this year’s hurricane season What can a cut potential cut mean?
The man said, “Climate services are just as fine as you will find in terms of mission, but it will be a significant deduction.” “People are scared. They had never really hung such uncertainty on them.
According to James Franklin, who served as the branch chief of the hurricane unit and worked there and worked there for many years, according to James Franklin, there are 12 people who predict the national hurricane center. Work in the unit, where the level of staff has been stable over the past decade, who served as the Branch Chief of the Hurricane Unit and worked there for many years.
Franklin told CNN, “By the end of a season, even with (12) predictions, it is very tired.” “Now there are much more storms than 20 to 30 years ago. Any tension on the staff has a negative impact on this product and maybe it will be itself because you don’t have that time to think about it The otherwise you will. ”
Former US Metrological Society’s president and former official, Noaa, said Mary Gilican said that hiring new people in the NWS and its parents’ agency Noaa has been very difficult for many years.
“Even if you have all the green lights, it’s very, very slow,” Gilican told CNN. “I think the level of staff is a cause for concern. And they are not just predicting. You keep people operating observers.
He added that further lack of staff means “this means that we have a lot of likely to lose life -saving warnings and give people the need for their needs.
The federal purchase was asked to comment on the effects of the federal purchase, the NOAA spokesman Susan Bouchinan told CNN that the agency “could not speculate on the effects of our work at the moment.”
There is a race against the hurricane forecast clock, in which experts are fine where and when the storm will start the earth, so emergency managers and other officials can evacuate the coast and protect people.
Franklin told CNN that two hurricanes predictors are usually shifted to the NHC at a time. But depending on how busy in the hurricane season, the same forecast may be accused of monitoring several storms.
It is a multi-hour-long task to predict, which is a 3-hour major window-predictions that consider satellite, Boys, Hurricane Hunter aircraft and federal forecast models. The result is the prediction of the severity and size of the hurricane, and it is to measure how much winds or storms can spread from its dangerous center.
The second key part of the job is predicting the right hand. Federal hurricane predictors often call through hurricanes in the Caribbean states, as well as other parts of the island in the Caribbean and other parts of the Atlantic.
James said, “People work in the wandering shifts, so predictions are spending a third of their time in midnight shifts.” “Working in midnight shifts by the end of six months, with storms in November or December, it takes a lot of time with you.”
Despite the assumptions, weather forecasts can be replaced by artificial intelligence, there is an important humanitarian element to predict governors, mayors and emergency planners. Those who predicted national seasonal services have spent many years not only with government officials, but also in the southeast to build ties with clergy and belief leaders.
It is about creating confidence in the hands of leaders who trust people and seek climate advice for deadly storms, Gilicon said.
“We are already using AI in the weather enterprise, but it is in the background, it is not the last word in things,” said Gilican. “The decision makers don’t trust him unless he knows what it is. I think you still need a human element in all of them.
The NOAA and NWS will probably be led by an official, which has a complex history with both agencies. Neil Jacobs was tapped by President Donald Trump for the head of the NOAA, which oversees the NWS.
Jacobs – An environmental scientist who has a background in computer predictions – took the agency on the basis of acting during Trump’s first term. He was the chief of the chair during the so -called “Sharp Gate” weather scandal in 2019, when Trump suggested with Sharpi on a hurricane dore track that he would kill Alabama, which would contradict the state federal forecast.
At that time, Jacobs and other top NOAA officials were ordered to double the false claims of Trump by the White House, which they eventually did. Investigations into the incident after the incident found that Jacobs had violated the code of conduct for Noaa’s ethics.
However, Jacobs has been seen by former Noaa officials as a respected and unanimous choice for the guidance of NOAA, which oversees American fishing and other oceans, weather and climate agencies.
Craig McLean, who served as the chief scientist of Noaa during Trump’s first term, said, “Whose name can be named, at least we have a person who is well -known to Noaa He knows. ” “She’s passionate about the agency.”
But McLean also raised the question whether Jacobs would stick to political pressure if he had to face again. Jacobs may face efforts to abolish or eliminate the agency – a recommendation presented in Project 2025 – in favor of a privatization or more algorithmic federal forecast solution.
“The big question is, what did Nile learned from his last experience when he tried to defend Trump and compromised with scientists and scientific integrity?” McLean said. When he was last there, he was targeted by a political bus and did not stand with him. I wish him a good wish; He is going in a difficult situation.
