Under the preliminary terms of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and the Lebanese group Hezbollah in November, the former had to withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon by January 26.
It has come and gone, but Israel has refused to pull its army back, and instead its deadline has been pushed on February 18. Israel has also defeated Lebanon in a non -bomb blast – claiming that it is targeting. Hezbollah for ceasefire violations.
Israeli presence in southern Lebanon means that thousands of people still cannot return to their homes in the border villages, Israeli troops are firing on people coming to close.
The conflict between Israel and Hezbollah – a Shiite group that is the strongest military force in Lebanon – began on October 8, when the Lebanese group launched strikes to unite with the Palestinian group Hamas in Gaza, Israeli invasion Was coming under. Israel intensified its attacks on Lebanon in September and killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah on September 27.
Since October 2023, Israel has killed about 4,000 people in Lebanon.
Why is Israel still on southern Lebanon? How is this “ceasefire”? And what is the last game of Israel right?
Here you need to know.
Did the ‘Seas Fire’ stop the war?
While Hezbollah has stopped its attacks, Israel did not.
The Israeli bombing is nowhere to the same intensity as the ceasefire began on November 27, and the southern suburbs of Beirut were stopped at night.
However, Israel is still attacking the occasion, some of which are north of the Latani River – which needs to move its forces to the north according to the ceasefire agreement.
Armed dispute space and event data project (Acled), data collecting group, 330 air strikes and ammunition incidents recorded Between November 27 and January 10, 260 properties were also carried out along with Israel.
What about Hezbollah?
Israel claims that Hezbollah has also failed to meet the terms of the ceasefire.
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said the Hezbollah River did not withdraw north of the Latani, which is located in southern Lebanon.
The dog said in January, “If this situation is not met, it will have no agreement and Israel will be forced to work itself to ensure the safe return of the north residents in their homes. “
Hezbollah Secretary General Naeem Qasim said in a speech in late January that Hezbollah was following a ceasefire agreement but he did not specifically say that his group had withdrawn completely from the south. Or not
Acled has recorded an attack by Hezbollah since the ceasefire began.
“Hezbollah has avoided widespread violence – no direct attacks on the Israeli soil, since the Israeli Riyeset -ud -Dad Alam -ul -Alam has left an attack on December 2, apart from an attack on Israeli territory. We code as evening. ” Aminia Mahur told Al Jazeera.
Qasim said the group would be patient despite repeated attacks against him.
What has been an international reaction?
Lebanon has lodged a complaint against Israel for ceasefire violations against the United Nations.
French President Emmanuel Macron called on Israel to meet the deadline of the First War to withdraw its troops, which had little effect. France and the United States were the real brokers of the deal.
Is there any way to violate?
According to diplomatic sources, the United States – a strong ally of Israel – assured that the deal would be followed.
But there was no other support – and there were no proposed fines – should the ceasefire be violated?
Israel still remains responsible for repeated ceasefire violations or extension of the ceasefire period by February 18.
What if Israel refuses to leave Lebanon?
This is not clear.
Hezbollah’s Qasim said in a speech in January that Israeli violations could end their group’s patience. But in a recent speech, he looked like he was responsible for opposing Israel in the Lebanese state.
“The Lebanese state is fully responsible for the sponsors and international pressure and its Israeli aggression, through the sponsors and international pressure,” Qasim said in a television address last week.
It is believed that the Lebanese army will move to southern Lebanon as part of a ceasefire agreement.
Any Hezbollah response will be restricted by a weak position in which it is found. The fall of President Bashar al -Assad’s government in Syria cut off Hezbollah’s ground route to receive weapons from Iran.
Its military capabilities also hit a two -month increase from September to November, during which Israel invaded Lebanon. And he has lost most of his top military leadership.
For these reasons, Hezbollah seems reluctant to take any action that will cause Israel to intensify its attacks.
