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Since the war in Ukraine is on its fourth year, US President Donald Trump has made it clear which world leader thinks he can help the United States end the conflict: Vladimir Putin’s Eli Xi Jinping.
“Hopefully, China can help us to stop the war with Russia-Ukrain, especially … they have a lot of power over this situation, and we will work with them.” Told Last month, political and business elites gathered at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
Trump has expressed his hope, he has repeatedly said, in a call with a Chinese leader before taking oath in the last month – and this is an article that Munich for annual security in the coming days. I gather. Conference
Although Trump has complicated his plan on peace with XI by imposing 10 % tariffs on Chinese imports in the United States earlier this month, war in Ukraine may prove to be a rare issue of mutual cooperation – especially When Beijing sees to stop the deep trade. Friction
Yunnan said, “US relations at China’s relations, if Trump has called China’s cooperation costs an important issue that can improve US China relations, I think China is very greedy. Ga… (and) can play a helpful role, “Yun Sun said,” At the same time, the director of the China Program at the Stemson Center think tank in Washington, adding that Beijing is offering its alignment with Russia. Will be careful.
China has long tried to position itself as a potential peace broker in the conflict. But in the West, its bid has so far been attracted to another fact: Beijing’s support for Russia’s support for Putin.
XI will be at risk of damaging this partnership, which the Chinese leader created as an important part of its broader goals to counter the pressure of the West and to create global discipline in China’s favor. Is
And a negotiating table where XI has a prominent seat is also one where Putin, not Trump, is a strong partner. It is a fact that Washington will have to be careful if it does not want to take the risk of isolating European allies or reaching a solution that is unacceptable. Analysts say Ukraine.
“Beijing, whose original result is a very weak Russia, said,” said Chong Ja Ian, an associate professor at the National University of Singapore. “Because then… (Beijing) will lack a major partner.”
It is expected that the Munich Security Conference agenda is expected to be very prominent in the future of the conflict in Germany, where US Vice President JD Venus meets Ukrainian President Woldmeer Zelinsky. Ready for Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi will also lead a delegation from Beijing.
Tating the gathering in Washington’s point of view about the war is a dramatic tone. Trump has questioned the US -based country, which his predecessors, Biden and US NATO allies, have not only considered it important to defend Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, but also a global rules -based global discipline.
In a Fox News interview earlier this week, the notorious transactional Trump instead suggested that the United States should have access to Ukraine’s full natural resources in exchange for military aid. He also suggested that Ukraine “could be Russian someday,” and said that his administration provided without details, making “tremendous progress” in laying the foundation for possible peace talks with Russia and Ukraine.
Members of the Trump administration are ready to meet Ukrainian officials in the coming days, sources told CNN that the Treasury Secretary Scott Bresnet is expected to discuss the country’s major mineral reserves. Will travel Trump’s special envoy for Ukraine Keith Kelog is also ready to visit the country after meetings in Munich.
Zlinski has said he is willing to talk to Putin – but only if the United States and Europe continue to support Ukraine and “provide security guarantees”, while Russia has reiterated this in recent days. That he accepted only a peace in which the ambitions of joining Ukraine were abandoned. NATO and seed region are connected by Russia.
But when Trump is pushing for a rapid end to the war, his administration has not yet stated details of what kind of peace they agree.
Observers say how much work Trump will do to work alongside XI – and even if the Chinese leader is viable – these parameters can also depend. In the past, Western leaders have tried to persuade XI to attract Zilnsky and Ukraine to peace in peace.
Even when China has claimed neutrality in the conflict and demanded peace, it has emerged as a key diplomatic and economic life for Russia throughout the war, including sending these dual -used goods. NATO leaders have said that Russia is feeding the defense sector and enabling its army. . Beijing defends its trade as part of common relations with Russia.
It is likely that in Trump’s view, all that takes advantage of XI on Putin. But close observers of China’s foreign policy say it is not so straightforward.
“Can China threaten to disconnect the supply of supply (essential goods) to Russia? This may not, because China cannot afford to completely failed Russia,” Focusing on Chinese politics at Hong Kong’s City University An assistant professor, Liu Dongshu, said. He pointed to Beijing’s Calculus that its relations with the United States and Europe have already reached the extent that they have no choice but to continue their only powerful diplomatic ally.
XI and Putin announced their “no boundaries” partnership weeks before the Russian tanks operated on Ukraine’s sovereign borders-it is based on their joint opposition and the theory on the basis of a covenant when they are on the rise So, the US -led West is declining.
Some observers say XI has also seen Putin a potential source of economic and diplomatic support if Beijing was to attack Taiwan. XI’s self -governance may be another important reason for the ambitions to overcome democracy that will be careful with a move that will damage the relationship.
Chinese leaders can also enjoy the role of war as a distraction for the United States, focusing on Asia and Taiwan.
As an American Senator, Venus argued last year that if China had to attack the island on which it would attack the island, it could harm the ability to help defend Taiwan.
Working with Trump to put Putin to pressurize the negotiating table – whatever the terms of the agreement – will also mark a clear change in the view of the Beijing conflict.
XI and its officials have used war as a platform to promote the vision of the world -led world, where the US alliance system has been abolished or weakened.
“China is focused on the construction of unity of non -Western countries, including influential developing countries, such as Brazil,” said Tong Xiao, a senior colleague of Carnegie, so as to change global security architecture and advance the alternative vision of global discipline. Ukraine could take advantage of the dispute. ” Promise for international peace in the United States.
Xiao said Beijing would now have little motivation to engage in co -operation with Washington, he said, his officials, however, would wait and see that any potential, wider with Trump. What benefits can be from the deal?
He said, the current US president – a NATO critic, who has repeatedly raised the voice of personal praise for Putin and XI – can be another important partners who are negotiating for both strengths.
Trump called for “immediate ceasefire and negotiation” before taking office – this is a position that is Geo with the stance described about the Beijing war, which the West has declared helpful to Russia. He has also been echoing the points of talks between Moscow and Beijing in recent weeks, Sympathy With the idea of the Kremlin that Ukraine should not be a part of NATO and this war continues because the United States “Started to shed goods” In Ukraine
US lawmakers and some members of the Trump administration are tough on both countries. But Trump’s stance raises the question of whether there is an agreement that Beijing, Moscow and Washington or Washington have arranged, which will please the three – and what can mean for the future of Ukraine and the conflict.
“You can see how everyone can take something (some peace deals),” said Robert Ward, director of Geo Economics and Strategy at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
He said, but there is a threat to any agreement where Russia has been left in the possession of parts of Ukraine, now it is occupying that it “becomes a conflict that does not end, it is just a mere one. ”
